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November 1, 2024
The 18 Game-Changing Arenas for the Future – And Why We Might Not Survive Their Impact
Summary of the Report The latest McKinsey report lays out 18 prospective arenas set to revolutionize industries, predicting a staggering combined revenue potential of $29 to $48 trillion by 2040. These arenas are expected to influence everything from AI to biotech, driving substantial shifts in GDP, projected to reach up to 16% of the global economy by 2040. Buckle up—this report forecasts an era where innovation and disruption are the new normal, and while the growth sounds dreamy, we may just need a survival manual for navigating these "game-changers."
Key Takeaways
- The 18 Arenas of Tomorrow: Expect massive growth in e-commerce, AI, cybersecurity, and space among others, each arena thriving on digitization, sustainability, and prosperity-driven demand.
- Scale of Impact: Together, these sectors could add $2 to $6 trillion in global profits by 2040.
- A Shift in GDP Contribution: From a modest 4% share today, these arenas are projected to command 10-16% of GDP by 2040.
Breakdown of the 18 Future Arenas
- E-commerce Already an arena of today, but apparently, 20% of a $17 trillion market just isn’t enough. McKinsey sees e-commerce squeezing into every last corner of the globe, making our future selves more online-shop-dependent than ever.
- Artificial Intelligence Software and Services AI is set to rake in up to $4.6 trillion by 2040. And while it’s charmingly versatile, from customer service bots to nuclear predictions, just wait until it learns to manage itself—then we’ll really be out of a job.
- Cloud Services An oldie but a goodie, expected to hit between $1.6 and $3.4 trillion. Cloud services are projected to grow as companies transition to the cloud—basically, a giant game of hide-and-seek with data.
- Electric Vehicles (EVs) Valued at $3.2 trillion by 2040, the EV market isn't just an ethical option anymore; it’s on the way to monopolizing streets worldwide. But who knows? By then, perhaps we’ll be nostalgic for the sweet smell of gasoline.
- Digital Advertising Predicted to reach up to $2.9 trillion by 2040, the digital ads market has made us all walking billboards. And with “targeted ads” so precise, they’re practically psychic, expect our private thoughts to become profitable data.
- Semiconductors The unsung heroes of tech, valued at a modest $2.4 trillion by 2040. Given every piece of hardware uses them, it’s shocking that supply chain issues haven’t led to tech-savvy protests.
- Shared Autonomous Vehicles Fancy sharing your ride with robots? Shared AVs are valued between $610 billion and $2.3 trillion. While carpooling with a bot sounds futuristic, a glitch could lead to an interesting commute.
- Space The space sector is poised to add $1.6 trillion. We're talking about a future where humans are annoyingly present everywhere, including Mars. Prepare for extraterrestrial branding and satellite spam.
- Cybersecurity Expected to grow to $1.2 trillion, cybersecurity has gone from “nice-to-have” to a basic survival tool. Because what’s the point of digital utopia if it’s hacked by lunchtime?
- Batteries Projected at $1.1 trillion by 2040, the battery market supports everything electric. Good thing too, as renewable energy makes batteries as valuable as gold. Just don’t drop one in water.
- Modular Construction Valued up to $1.1 trillion, modular construction is set to revolutionize building. Think of it as IKEA housing, only hopefully with clearer instructions.
- Streaming Video Set to reach $1 trillion, streaming is here to eat cable's lunch. The irony is, in a world of infinite choice, the only thing people are “watching” is their subscription costs skyrocket.
- Video Games With a $910 billion market by 2040, games will be everywhere, including the office. Imagine future professionals leveling up their PowerPoint skills while fending off dragons.
- Robotics Robots are projected to be a $910 billion industry. They might be taking over warehouses now, but let’s hope they don’t expand into “HR.”
- Industrial and Consumer Biotech Expected to reach $900 billion, this field will bring biotech to the masses. In a future where lab-grown burgers are normal, this arena could make grocery shopping a scientific adventure.
- Future Air Mobility Think drones and flying taxis, worth up to $340 billion. Imagine Uber in the air, where surge pricing includes the risk of minor turbulence.
- Drugs for Obesity and Related Conditions Valued at $280 billion, expect more in the way of easy-to-take solutions for weight loss. In a world that treats ailments with apps, pills may still have some staying power.
- Nuclear Fission Power Plants At $150 billion, nuclear fission could be our ace card in clean energy. Given recent disasters, let’s hope the industry has improved its track record.
Final Thoughts These “arenas” are projected to transform daily life, the economy, and job markets. Whether you think these advancements are groundbreaking or grounds for concern, understanding and preparing for their arrival may be the key to future success—or at least, survival.
You can read the full report here.